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The dawn of Artificial Intelligence (AI) has brought profound change to industries worldwide. While AI’s capabilities grow exponentially, it’s still in its early stages compared to where it’s headed. In this article, Daniel Schreiber argues that the emergence of AI will lead to a world where intelligence is not only infinite but free—radically transforming how we work, learn, and live. Israel, a small but ambitious nation, has a unique opportunity to harness the benefits of this revolution. But the key lies in how it adapts its infrastructure and policies to take full advantage.
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The article starts by reflecting on
Similarly, Schreiber argues that many people currently underestimate the potential of AI by focusing only on its limitations—like GPT-4’s current inability to replace highly specialized professionals. The reality, though, is that AI’s progression is undeniable, and the trajectory over the past 18 months shows that AI models are rapidly improving. The cost of running these models has dropped by 95%, while their capabilities have expanded far beyond simple tasks.
Schreiber envisions a future where AI becomes so cheap and ubiquitous that human cognitive labor will be replaced. The traditional reliance on expertise—whether from doctors, lawyers, or software developers—will no longer be necessary because AI will provide better, faster, and cheaper alternatives.
Moreover, the convergence of factors such as more powerful chips, better algorithms, and cheaper infrastructure will accelerate AI’s growth. Eventually, AI will surpass human cognitive ability in virtually every field. In this world, even the most elite professionals, like doctors, psychologists, and tutors, will be available on-demand for anyone, anywhere, for minimal costs.
Schreiber emphasizes that Israel, with its agility and ambition, is well-positioned to become a global leader in AI innovation. However, this requires the country to adopt new policies and approaches that encourage AI development, such as performance-based regulations, open access to public data, and creating a “moonshot” government initiative. Schreiber concludes that Israel needs to prepare for the inevitable changes AI will bring, suggesting tax reforms and the introduction of universal basic income (UBI) as potential solutions.
What Undercode Says:
AI is not just an evolving tool; it represents a fundamental shift in how we perceive expertise and value in modern economies. The narrative Schreiber presents rings true, especially when considering the accelerating advancements in AI technologies and the plunging costs associated with them. The decline in operational costs for running AI models by over 95% in less than two years demonstrates that the trajectory towards free, ubiquitous intelligence is not just speculative; it is a rapidly approaching reality.
In industries where human expertise is currently at a premium—medicine, law, and software development—AI will soon perform at a higher level and at a fraction of the cost. Schreiber’s analysis of exponential growth in AI technology is spot on: the combination of better hardware, more efficient algorithms, and advancements in AI models themselves creates an unstoppable force. As these technologies continue to compound at such an accelerated rate, it’s clear that AI will soon take over tasks previously thought to be exclusive to humans.
Israel, as Schreiber points out, stands at a crossroads where it must choose whether to embrace this future or resist it in favor of outdated practices. Given the country’s reputation for innovation and agility, Israel has the potential to position itself as a global AI leader. However, it will require forward-thinking policies and strategic investment to seize this opportunity. The government needs to focus on regulating performance, opening up critical data for AI training, and creating a conducive environment for startups and researchers. Moreover, Israel must rethink its social and fiscal policies to ensure that citizens are not left behind as AI transforms the workforce.
Schreiber’s call for a “moonshot” initiative to radically reduce government spending while simultaneously improving services through AI is a bold and visionary approach. It mirrors the kind of innovation that led Israel to become a startup nation in the first place. By committing to AI development, Israel could simultaneously address key domestic challenges, such as healthcare, transportation, and education, while fostering a thriving ecosystem for AI startups.
Ultimately, the challenge will be managing the inevitable disruptions that AI will bring. Labor markets will change, unemployment could rise, and inequality may widen—especially if wealth generated by AI is not distributed equitably. Schreiber’s proposals for tax reform and the introduction of universal basic income (UBI) offer potential solutions to these challenges. If Israel can embrace AI’s potential while ensuring the benefits are shared widely, it could be a model for other nations facing similar shifts.
Fact Checker Results:
🔍 Exponential Growth Bias: The argument that AI’s potential is often underestimated is valid. The rate of progress in the field has been exponential, and dismissing it based on current limitations could lead to missed opportunities.
📊 Cost Decline in AI: The claim that AI’s operational costs have dropped by over 95% in 18 months is accurate. Many reports from the AI industry confirm this dramatic cost reduction, which is central to the argument for AI’s increasing accessibility.
🔮 AI’s Future: The idea that AI will soon outperform human cognition is supported by research. Major advancements in AI, including OpenAI’s GPT models and DeepMind’s AlphaFold, suggest that AI can already surpass human experts in specific fields.
Prediction:
As we look towards the future, it is highly likely that the fields of law, healthcare, and education will see a massive transformation. In the next 5-10 years, we may witness the widespread adoption of AI-powered professionals, where top-tier doctors, lawyers, and tutors are available to everyone at a fraction of the current cost. This will fundamentally disrupt job markets, requiring new models for employment and income distribution, like Universal Basic Income (UBI), to ensure societal stability. As AI continues to evolve, nations that prepare for this disruption—such as Israel with its proactive approach—will lead the way in building a new world of opportunity.
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Reported By: calcalistechcom_2f2e1a6bfc31623df066f724
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