AI Is Reshaping Venture Capital: Who Will Thrive and Who Will Disappear?

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The Silent Revolution in Investment Strategies

Artificial Intelligence isn’t just a buzzword in the tech world anymore—it’s the engine driving the next financial revolution. While the AI hype rages on in headlines and startup pitches, behind closed doors, venture capital firms are fundamentally rewiring how they think, evaluate, and invest. Rotem Shacham, Director at PSG Equity, LLC., sheds light on how AI has evolved from an investment niche into an inescapable force reshaping every facet of business strategy.

In a detailed conversation with CTech, Shacham explains how AI is no longer a vertical—it’s horizontal. Like the internet in the early 2000s or cloud computing after the 2008 crash, AI is now “table stakes.” PSG Equity, a growth-stage investor, is aggressively integrating AI into sourcing, analyzing, and managing portfolios. Whether it’s predictive analytics for due diligence or AI-optimized internal workflows, the firm sees the technology as a “force multiplier.”

And the stakes couldn’t be higher. In an environment where pace trumps pedigree, not all AI-fueled startups will survive. Some may skyrocket to trillion-dollar valuations; others will be crushed by the velocity of change. PSG is betting on momentum—specifically KPIs like revenue acceleration and net dollar retention—but acknowledges that forecasting even 6 months ahead is now a challenge. Shacham urges founders to embrace AI not just as a feature, but as a foundation—infusing it into R\&D, customer support, and core business logic.

Israel, a breeding ground for AI talent, continues to shine in application-layer innovation, particularly in HealthTech, DefenseTech, and LegalTech. Yet gaps remain, especially in foundational AI development. PSG is actively seeking visionary founders who can blend creativity with technological prowess, particularly those willing to go beyond buzz and execute at scale.

the Original (Approx. )

Rotem Shacham, Director at PSG Equity, LLC., offers critical insights into the sweeping influence of AI on venture capital investment strategies. Founded in 2014 by Peter Wilde and Mark Hastings, PSG Equity specializes in growth-stage investments across sectors, with AI now becoming central to their operation.

According to Shacham, AI is revolutionizing all phases of the investment lifecycle—from sourcing potential targets using proprietary AI tools to automating due diligence and streamlining internal processes. AI isn’t a segment anymore; it’s an omnipresent enabler that reshapes how businesses operate, scale, and compete.

In terms of exits, PSG notes that buyers increasingly scrutinize how companies are using AI, making it essential even for non-AI-native companies to embed AI into their DNA. For startup evaluation, KPIs like revenue, growth momentum, and efficiency metrics remain critical, but the challenge lies in the rapid pace of AI development. Technologies like large language models (LLMs) and “vibe coding” are shifting landscapes so quickly that forecasting more than six months ahead has become nearly impossible.

Although PSG focuses on growth-stage firms, Shacham argues that AI enables earlier commercialization with fewer resources. Financially, risks stem from the unpredictability of tech evolution rather than traditional metrics. KPIs often lag behind current market dynamics, increasing the uncertainty.

PSG invests across AI subdomains but sees massive potential in sectors yet to undergo digital transformation—like agriculture and aerospace. Israeli startups, known for application-layer innovation, are excelling in verticals such as HealthTech and DefenseTech. Still, foundational AI development remains limited, presenting an opportunity for future growth.

The firm places high importance on founder capability, especially those with the vision and adaptability to build resilient AI-driven businesses.

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PSG

Let’s break this down:

1. AI as Infrastructure, Not Just Innovation:

Like electricity or the internet, AI is now an expected utility in most sectors. Companies without AI integration risk obsolescence. PSG’s view that AI is “table stakes” signals a deeper truth: we’re witnessing the rise of an AI baseline economy, where lack of AI literacy is a strategic liability.

2. Exponential Change and Forecast Paralysis:

Shacham’s commentary on prediction difficulty is telling. Legacy venture models relied on 3–5 year growth horizons. But in the current AI era, transformation occurs in 6–12 month cycles. This forces VCs to adopt shorter-term, agile strategies—often hedging across diverse bets rather than doubling down on single long-term plays.

3. Momentum-Driven Metrics:

PSG’s emphasis on “second derivatives” like change in growth or acceleration in efficiency spending aligns with modern AI startup dynamics. Startups today scale faster, iterate quicker, and burn less cash—if they use AI smartly. Investors are no longer just measuring size—they’re measuring trajectory.

4. The Talent-Execution Paradox:

Despite Israel’s reputation for deep tech talent, PSG sees a bottleneck in foundational AI layers. This is paradoxical: Israel has the coding expertise, but perhaps lacks infrastructure-scale funding or incentives for foundational research. PSG’s openness to back visionary founders hints at a coming wave of early-stage disruptions from the region.

5. AI Democratization vs. Differentiation:

AI tools like ChatGPT, Claude, and open-source models are accessible. So what differentiates one AI startup from another? PSG implicitly answers this: it’s execution. Integration into workflows, proprietary training data, and continuous iteration will define winners—not access to baseline models.

6. Vertical-Specific Moats:

The firm’s sector-agnostic view is fascinating. It suggests that AI’s value lies not in what it is, but where it’s applied. Whether LegalTech, Foodtech, or DefenseTech, domain adaptation is the key. This aligns with the thesis that horizontal models (like GPT-4) will be commoditized, while vertical integrations will build the next unicorns.

7. Risk: Not Technical, but Temporal:

Interestingly, PSG doesn’t stress data privacy, model bias, or algorithmic flaws. Their focus is on speed—the velocity of evolution outpacing traditional investment frameworks. That’s a nuanced shift: they’re worried about time, not technology.

8. Founders Over Features:

In an AI-saturated landscape, PSG is placing its bets on leadership teams rather than just tech stacks. This prioritization suggests a return to startup fundamentals: team > tech. In a world where GPT can generate an MVP in days, human execution becomes the moat.

Conclusion:

PSG Equity’s stance is a wake-up call. AI isn’t optional—it’s survival. Investors must move faster, founders must think deeper, and businesses must adapt relentlessly. In the coming years, the winners won’t be those who dabble in AI—they’ll be the ones who embed it into their DNA.

🔍 Fact Checker Results

✅ PSG Equity was indeed founded in 2014 by Peter Wilde and Mark Hastings.
✅ Rotem Shacham is currently a Director at PSG Equity.
✅ Israel is recognized globally for its AI innovation, particularly in application-layer verticals like HealthTech and DefenseTech.

📊 Prediction: The Next Wave of Unicorns Will Be Vertical AI Innovators

In the next 3–5 years, AI companies that dominate specific verticals—like agri-tech, legal automation, or AI-native defense systems—will see explosive exits. Israeli startups, with their application-centric mindset, are poised to lead in niche sectors. Founders who can embed AI into daily user experiences, rather than pitch it as a backend engine, will shape the next \$10B+ valuations. Meanwhile, AI-native funds like PSG will become gatekeepers of this evolution, driving capital into execution-first ecosystems.

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Reported By: calcalistechcom_943cc8d468e793218c59c33d
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